Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Roman Safiullin
RUS
Roman Safiullin
#103ATP
1750ELO
1627Grass ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 1st on
Joao Fonseca
BRA24
Joao Fonseca
#26ATP
1928ELO
1686Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Safiullin R.
6-3 6-3 6-3
Fonseca J.
Safiullin R.
6663
Fonseca J.
3330

Roman Safiullin defeated Joao Fonseca in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a straight-sets victory for Safiullin, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3. Safiullin converted 27% of break points and won 79% of first-serve points, while Fonseca did not convert any break points and had four aces.

Around the match

  • “After the US Open I had to stop to treat my injury, and that time was super tough. Even half a year ago I didn't know if I'd be able to be back. I didn't know. I'm super happy to be back here.”

    Safiullin R.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Roman Safiullin closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–3 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Safiullin R.Fonseca J.
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
58%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Even
6.1
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Safiullin R.Fonseca J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
66
Break points saved·Even
93
95
Break points won·Slight edge
18
24
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Safiullin R.18%
Fonseca J.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fonseca J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Safiullin R.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Fonseca J.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1618
Surface ELO
5.9+68 Grass Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1732
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1928
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on grass
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Safiullin R.Fonseca J.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
83

Safiullin R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw