Holger Rune vs Roman SafiullinCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Rune H.
7-5 7-6
Safiullin R.
Rune H.
7772
Safiullin R.
5650

Holger Rune defeated Roman Safiullin 7-5 7-6 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12RotterdamR32hardHolger Rune6-4 2-6 6-1
2024-01-01BrisbaneSFhardHolger Rune6-4 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Safiullin R.
47
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
68
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
84
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+21 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1704
5.1Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1750
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.4
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%