Tommy Paul vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Australian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
Tommy Paul
USA19
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026
hard
Aleksandar Kovacevic
USA
Aleksandar Kovacevic
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Paul T.
6-4 6-3 6-3
Kovacevic A.
Paul T.
6663
Kovacevic A.
4330

Tommy Paul defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-3 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–3 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving95% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Kovacevic A.
71
Serve
52
54
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Kovacevic A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
32%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
11.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Kovacevic A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
53
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
87
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kovacevic A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+270 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1611
8.9Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1636
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.1
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Kovacevic A.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
97

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 28%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djokovic N.[4]
2-66-26-37-5
Semi-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Sinner J.[2]
3-66-34-66-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Zverev A.[3]
6-47-656-736-747-5
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Musetti L.[5]
4-63-63-1
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[8]
6-36-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[6]
7-56-26-1
Zverev A.[3]
Tien L.[25]
6-36-756-17-63
R16
Djokovic N.[4]
Mensik J.[16]
W/O
Zverev A.[3]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-26-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Paul T.[19]
7-666-47-5
Musetti L.[5]
Fritz T.[9]
6-27-56-4
Tien L.[25]
Medvedev D.[11]
6-46-06-3
Sinner J.[2]
Darderi L.[22]
6-16-37-62
De Minaur A.[6]
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-16-1
Shelton B.[8]
Ruud C.[12]
3-66-46-36-4
R32
Paul T.[19]
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
6-16-10-0
Ruud C.[12]
Cilic M.
6-46-43-67-5
Cerundolo F.[18]
Rublev A.[13]
6-37-646-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Marozsan F.
6-754-67-56-06-3
Zverev A.[3]
Norrie C.[26]
7-54-66-36-1
Darderi L.[22]
Khachanov K.[15]
7-653-66-36-4
Fritz T.[9]
Wawrinka S.
7-652-66-46-4
Tien L.[25]
Borges N.
7-696-46-2
Mensik J.[16]
Quinn E.
6-27-657-65
Djokovic N.[4]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-47-64
Sinner J.[2]
Spizzirri E.
4-66-36-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Tiafoe F.[29]
6-36-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Etcheverry T.
7-647-656-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Moutet C.[32]
6-26-46-1
Shelton B.[8]
Vacherot V.[30]
6-46-47-65
Musetti L.[5]
Machac T.
5-76-46-25-76-2
R64
Moutet C.[32]
Zheng M.
3-66-16-32-0
Tiafoe F.[29]
Comesana F.
6-46-34-66-2
Spizzirri E.
Wu Y.
6-26-46-744-66-3
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
6-47-656-1
Paul T.[19]
Tirante T.
6-36-46-2
Vacherot V.[30]
Hijikata R.
6-16-34-66-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
7-646-36-2
Shelton B.[8]
Sweeny D.
6-36-26-2
Cilic M.
Shapovalov D.[21]
6-46-36-2
Medvedev D.[11]
Halys Q.
6-796-36-46-2
Bublik A.[10]
Fucsovics M.
7-56-47-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Opelka R.
6-37-635-74-66-4
Etcheverry T.
Fery A.
7-646-16-3
Khachanov K.[15]
Basavareddy N.
6-16-46-3
Mensik J.[16]
Jodar R.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[12]
Munar J.
6-37-56-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Maestrelli F.
6-36-26-2
Darderi L.[22]
Baez S.
6-31-66-46-3
Tien L.[25]
Shevchenko A.
6-25-76-16-0
Wawrinka S.
Gea A.
4-66-33-67-57-63
Zverev A.[3]
Muller A.
6-34-66-36-4
Borges N.
Thompson J.
6-796-36-26-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shang J.
7-666-26-3
Sinner J.[2]
Duckworth J.
6-16-46-2
Fritz T.[9]
Kopriva V.
6-16-47-64
De Minaur A.[6]
Medjedovic H.
6-756-26-26-1
Machac T.
Tsitsipas S.[31]
6-43-67-657-65
Marozsan F.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-47-65
Musetti L.[5]
Sonego L.
6-36-36-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-1
Norrie C.[26]
Nava E.
6-17-634-67-65
Rublev A.[13]
Faria J.
6-46-34-67-5
R128
Borges N.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
3-66-46-40-0
Alcaraz C.[1]
Walton A.
6-37-626-2
Maestrelli F.
Atmane T.
6-43-66-746-16-1
Mensik J.[16]
Carreno Busta P.
7-54-62-67-616-3
Gea A.
Lehecka J.[17]
7-57-617-5
Duckworth J.
Prizmic D.
7-643-61-67-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Kecmanovic M.
6-23-64-66-36-4
Vacherot V.[30]
Damm M.
6-46-46-4
Shelton B.[8]
Humbert U.
6-37-627-65
Basavareddy N.
Oconnell C.
4-67-676-736-26-3
Opelka R.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-46-36-4
Sinner J.[2]
Gaston H.
6-26-10-0
Musetti L.[5]
Collignon R.
4-67-637-53-2
Shapovalov D.[21]
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-636-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[14]
Misolic F.
6-26-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Svajda Z.
7-54-66-47-63
Hijikata R.
Mannarino A.
6-36-36-1
Munar J.
Svrcina D.
3-66-26-757-56-3
Moutet C.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-47-616-3
Fucsovics M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-656-16-2
Halys Q.
Tabilo A.
6-26-27-62
Fery A.
Cobolli F.[20]
7-616-46-1
Sweeny D.
Monfils G.
6-737-56-47-5
De Minaur A.[6]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-26-3
Machac T.
Dimitrov G.
6-46-46-3
Darderi L.[22]
Garin C.
7-657-57-63
Djokovic N.[4]
Martinez P.
6-36-26-2
Khachanov K.[15]
Michelsen A.
4-66-46-35-76-3
Quinn E.
Griekspoor T.[23]
6-26-36-2
Tirante T.
Vukic A.
7-56-26-2
Faria J.
Blockx A.
6-33-66-36-4
Bublik A.[10]
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Spizzirri E.
Fonseca J.[28]
6-42-66-16-2
Cilic M.
Altmaier D.
6-06-07-63
Baez S.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-43-65-76-3
Fritz T.[9]
Royer V.
7-655-76-16-3
Zverev A.[3]
Diallo G.
6-716-16-46-2
Medjedovic H.
Navone M.
6-26-736-46-2
Nava E.
Jacquet K.
6-27-56-754-67-66
Shevchenko A.
Ymer E.
3-67-56-46-1
Kopriva V.
Struff J.
4-66-22-66-36-1
Marozsan F.
Rinderknech A.[24]
6-36-46-726-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Nakashima B.[27]
6-34-67-617-63
Norrie C.[26]
Bonzi B.
6-06-724-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[31]
Mochizuki S.
4-66-36-26-2
Tiafoe F.[29]
Kubler J.
7-646-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Fearnley J.
7-627-53-67-63
Zheng M.
Korda S.
6-46-43-66-706-3
Sonego L.
Taberner C.
6-46-06-3
Muller A.
Popyrin A.
2-66-33-67-657-64
Hurkacz H.
Bergs Z.
6-767-666-36-3
Dzumhur D.
Draxl L.
7-56-06-4
Wawrinka S.
Djere L.
5-76-36-47-64
Wu Y.
Nardi L.
7-54-66-46-2
Rublev A.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-26-3
Ruud C.[12]
Bellucci M.
6-16-26-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Zhang Z.
6-37-606-3
Comesana F.
Kypson P.
6-26-33-66-3
Thompson J.
Cerundolo J.
6-737-56-16-1
Shang J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-726-46-0
Paul T.[19]
Kovacevic A.
6-46-36-3
Jodar R.
Sakamoto R.
7-666-15-74-66-3
Medvedev D.[11]
De Jong J.
7-56-27-62
Tien L.[25]
Giron M.
7-624-63-67-636-2