Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar KovacevicIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#8ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Djokovic N.
6-4 1-6 6-4
Kovacevic A.
Djokovic N.
6162
Kovacevic A.
4641

Novak Djokovic defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 1-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Novak Djokovic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Novak Djokovic closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Djokovic N.Kovacevic A.
68
Serve
52
62
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
10.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
99
53
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
99
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 44 days (−1.0)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+411 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1611
10.0Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.9
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.3
Country comfort
6.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
40
93

Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 139 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%