Jannik Sinner vs Jenson Brooksby — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Jannik Sinner
ITA
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWWW
—
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
Jenson Brooksby
USA
Jenson Brooksby
#81ATP
1691ELO
1629Grass ELO
$530kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWLLLL
Sinner J.
vs
Brooksby J.

Jannik Sinner faces Jenson Brooksby in the Wimbledon round of 32 on grass. Jannik Sinner holds the paper edge — ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Sinner J.97%
Brooksby J.3%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sinner J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Brooksby J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+459 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1629
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1691
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
10.010 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.7Won 79% in GBR (28)
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Sinner J.Cooling
Brooksby J.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Brooksby J.
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
81%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
49%
Service points won·Clear edge
73%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
75%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.0
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving98% hold

wins 80% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Brooksby J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Brooksby J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Clear edge
100
78
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
95
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Brooksby J.
Freshness·Slight edge
70
78

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d) · Brooksby J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-02WashingtonSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(2) 6-1
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.
Borges N.
7-647-626-4
Brooksby J.
Buse I.
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
6-2 7.8-6.6 0-0
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
6-33-65-72-6
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7-646-781-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-0 4-6 6-3 3-6 5-4
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.
1-65-74-6
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
6-47-616-3
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Khachanov K.
Hanfmann Y.
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.
Mensik J.
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
Fils A.
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
Tiafoe F.
Choinski J.
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.
Lehecka J.
Molcan A.
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
Halys Q.
Giron M.
Royer V.
Zverev A.
Sinner J.
Brooksby J.
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Hurkacz H.
Paul T.
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Medvedev D.
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Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Fucsovics M.
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Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
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