Jannik Sinner vs Frances TiafoeMiami Masters Quarter-final

Miami Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Sinner J.
6-2 6-2
Tiafoe F.
Sinner J.
662
Tiafoe F.
220

Jannik Sinner defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-2 6-2 in the Miami Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersFhardJannik Sinner7-6(4) 6-2
2023-10-23ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2021-10-25ViennaSFhardFrances Tiafoe3-6 7-5 6-2
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner3-4(4) 4-2 4-2 4-2
2019-10-14AntwerpQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Tiafoe F.
100
Serve
38
100
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
75%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
92
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+402 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1861
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1918
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
8.0
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.9
Country comfort
7.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
53
72

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%