Jannik Sinner vs Frances TiafoeCincinnati Masters Final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 August 2024
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Sinner J.
7-6 6-2
Tiafoe F.
Sinner J.
7762
Tiafoe F.
6420

Jannik Sinner defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-6 6-2 in the Cincinnati Masters final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round of 32. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersQFhardJannik Sinner6-2 6-2
2023-10-23ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
2021-10-25ViennaSFhardFrances Tiafoe3-6 7-5 6-2
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner3-4(4) 4-2 4-2 4-2
2019-10-14AntwerpQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Tiafoe F.
100
Serve
38
100
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.3
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (173 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
92
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+402 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1861
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1918
5.4
H2H
4.6
8.6
Surface form
5.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
4.3
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.7
Country comfort
7.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
55
63

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 47%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Tiafoe F.
7-646-2