Jannik Sinner vs Francisco Cerundolo — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Jannik Sinner
ITA2
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Francisco Cerundolo
ARG
Francisco Cerundolo
#21ATP
1931ELO
1880Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Sinner J.
7-5 6-1
Cerundolo F.
Sinner J.
762
Cerundolo F.
510

Jannik Sinner defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 6-1 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayJannik Sinner7-6(2) 6-3
2023-05-08Rome MastersR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-7(3) 6-2 6-2
2022-10-24ViennaR16hardJannik Sinner7-5 6-3
2022-09-16Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs ARGRRhardJannik Sinner7-5 1-6 6-3
2022-03-21Miami MastersQFhardFrancisco Cerundolo4-1 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Cerundolo F.
100
Serve
13
100
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Cerundolo F.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Cerundolo F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
100
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Cerundolo F.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+383 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1880
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.1
Surface form
4.8
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.1
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Cerundolo F.
Freshness·Dominant
59
97

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1