Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik SinnerRome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Cerundolo F.
6-7 6-2 6-2
Sinner J.
Cerundolo F.
63662
Sinner J.
77221

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Jannik Sinner 6-7 6-2 6-2 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Francisco Cerundolo narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardJannik Sinner7-5 6-1
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayJannik Sinner7-6(2) 6-3
2022-10-24ViennaR16hardJannik Sinner7-5 6-3
2022-09-16Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs ARGRRhardJannik Sinner7-5 1-6 6-3
2022-03-21Miami MastersQFhardFrancisco Cerundolo4-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.Sinner J.
23
Serve
99
100
Return
91

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
100
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
86
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.6Clay Elo 1868
Surface ELO
9.4+347 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
7.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
43

Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%