Jannik Sinner vs Francisco CerundoloRome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Sinner J.
7-6 6-3
Cerundolo F.
Sinner J.
7762
Cerundolo F.
6230

Jannik Sinner defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7-6 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardJannik Sinner7-5 6-1
2023-05-08Rome MastersR16clayFrancisco Cerundolo6-7(3) 6-2 6-2
2022-10-24ViennaR16hardJannik Sinner7-5 6-3
2022-09-16Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs ARGRRhardJannik Sinner7-5 1-6 6-3
2022-03-21Miami MastersQFhardFrancisco Cerundolo4-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Cerundolo F.
99
Serve
26
95
Return
99

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
100
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 114 days (−1.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+347 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Clay Elo 1868
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1931
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
7.3
10.020-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.9
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
98

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%