Jenson Brooksby vs Francisco Cerundolo — London Round of 16
Brooksby J.
Jenson Brooksby faces Francisco Cerundolo in the London round of 16 on grass. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #27.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cerundolo F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jenson Brooksby 32 games in 14 days, Francisco Cerundolo 0.
- Serve & return: Jenson Brooksby brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 14), Francisco Cerundolo the stronger return game (Return Rating 82).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Serve & return on grass
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Freshness
Recent loadBrooksby J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.