Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolo — London Quarter-final
GBR
Fery A.
Arthur Fery faces Francisco Cerundolo in the London quarter-final on grass. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #27, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:22 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cerundolo F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Arthur Fery comes in with 1 days of rest and 94 games in 14d, vs Francisco Cerundolo's 1 and 31.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Francisco Cerundolo has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 88 vs 54).
- Last match: Francisco Cerundolo handed Jenson Brooksby a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–4 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFery A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Cerundolo F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.