Jenson Brooksby vs Holger RuneTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · ATP · Quarter-final
#81ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$530kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
Brooksby J.
6-3 6-3
Rune H.
Brooksby J.
662
Rune H.
330

Jenson Brooksby defeated Holger Rune 6-3 6-3 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Brooksby J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Serve advantage — Rune H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Brooksby J.Rune H.
14
Serve
47
53
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
91
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Slight edge
78
84
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 48 days (−0.7)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1682
Surface ELO
5.5+42 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Brooksby J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%