Jannik Sinner vs Alexander BublikUS Open Round of 16

US Open · ATP · Round of 16
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Sinner J.
6-1 6-1 6-1
Bublik A.
Sinner J.
6663
Bublik A.
111

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Bublik 6-1 6-1 6-1 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending the title. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2025-06-16HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayJannik Sinner6-1 7-5 6-0
2023-06-19HalleQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-5 2-0 RET
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersQFhardJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-4
2021-03-15DubaiR32hardJannik Sinner2-6 7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Bublik A.
100
Serve
65
100
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
67
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
53
66

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

R128
Bellucci M.
Shang J.
7-601-66-33-0
Norrie C.
Korda S.
7-56-4
Sinner J.
Kopriva V.
6-16-16-2
Giron M.
Navone M.
6-07-54-65-76-4
Rinderknech A.
Carballes Baena R.
7-627-54-66-2
Ruud C.
Ofner S.
6-16-27-65
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-16-2
Collignon R.
Galan D.
6-46-46-4
Harris L.
Baez S.
6-37-56-4
Darderi L.
Hijikata R.
6-26-16-2
Kym J.
Quinn E.
6-36-23-67-65
Cobolli F.
Passaro F.
7-54-66-43-66-3
Popyrin A.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-47-63
Royer V.
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-47-61
Svajda Z.
Piros Z.
6-46-27-5
Spizzirri E.
Dostanic S.
7-56-47-64
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.
6-37-56-750-66-4
Etcheverry T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-26-0
Bublik A.
Cilic M.
6-46-16-4
Schoolkate T.
Sonego L.
6-37-681-61-67-66
Borges N.
Holt B.
6-46-26-3
Paul T.
Moller E.
6-36-36-1
Musetti L.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-736-36-46-4
Goffin D.
Halys Q.
6-726-46-37-5
Brooksby J.
Vukic A.
6-36-746-43-66-4
Fearnley J.
Bautista Agut R.
7-56-25-76-4
Walton A.
Humbert U.
6-47-645-76-1
Wong C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-57-64
Boyer T.
Duckworth J.
6-37-56-4
Altmaier D.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-737-676-756-4
Mochizuki S.
Gaston H.
6-46-36-4
Comesana F.
Michelsen A.
1-66-36-46-4
Struff J.
Mcdonald M.
3-67-646-36-3
Safiullin R.
Monfils G.
6-42-66-13-66-4
Zverev A.
Tabilo A.
6-27-646-4
Draper J.
Gomez F.
6-47-56-776-2
Bergs Z.
Tseng C.
6-36-46-3
Rune H.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-37-647-62
Munar J.
Faria J.
6-06-35-76-2
Diallo G.
Dzumhur D.
7-644-67-57-5
Shapovalov D.
Fucsovics M.
6-46-46-0
Khachanov K.
Basavareddy N.
6-756-37-56-1
Rublev A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-46-4
Mensik J.
Jarry N.
7-656-36-4
Fonseca J.
Kecmanovic M.
7-637-656-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Harris B.
6-47-686-4
Machac T.
Nardi L.
6-36-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.
6-16-46-756-4
Lehecka J.
Coric B.
3-66-47-656-1
Mannarino A.
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-0
Thompson J.
Moutet C.
6-26-41-66-3
De Minaur A.
Oconnell C.
6-36-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-676-46-2
Shelton B.
Buse I.
6-36-26-4
Fritz T.
Nava E.
7-56-26-3
Nakashima B.
De Jong J.
6-26-752-66-27-67
Blanchet U.
Marozsan F.
6-43-67-676-2
Damm M.
Blanch D.
6-36-46-4
Tiafoe F.
Nishioka Y.
6-37-666-3
Riedi L.
Martinez P.
6-46-26-3
Alcaraz C.
Opelka R.
6-47-56-4
Cerundolo F.
Arnaldi M.
3-62-67-56-46-3
Tsitsipas S.
Muller A.
4-66-06-17-65
Djokovic N.
Tien L.
6-17-636-2