Jannik Sinner vs Alexander BublikRoland Garros Quarter-final

Roland Garros · ATP · Quarter-final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Sinner J.
6-1 7-5 6-0
Bublik A.
Sinner J.
6763
Bublik A.
1500

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Bublik 6-1 7-5 6-0 in the Roland Garros quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's semi-final. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner6-1 6-1 6-1
2025-06-16HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik3-6 6-3 6-4
2023-06-19HalleQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-5 2-0 RET
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersQFhardJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-4
2021-03-15DubaiR32hardJannik Sinner2-6 7-6(2) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Bublik A.
99
Serve
55
91
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
10.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
67
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+393 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Clay Elo 1822
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.8
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.9
Country comfort
5.5
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
59
70

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%
R128
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[7]
7-53-66-36-1
Quinn E.
Dimitrov G.[16]
2-63-66-2
Mensik J.[26]
Muller A.
7-56-757-56-3
Fucsovics M.
Schoolkate T.[15]
6-46-26-2
Kopriva V.
Monteiro T.
6-46-34-66-766-1
Fearnley J.
Wawrinka S.
7-666-36-2
Shelton B.[5]
Sonego L.
6-44-63-66-26-3
Halys Q.
Machac T.[21]
7-644-1
Dzumhur D.
Tirante T.
3-66-46-37-5
Herbert P.
Bonzi B.
7-53-64-67-56-2
Rune H.[10]
Bautista Agut R.
6-746-46-36-2
Galan D.
Royer V.
7-666-33-66-747-5
Khachanov K.[13]
Vukic A.
6-46-46-4
De Jong J.
Passaro F.
3-66-776-47-616-1
Borges N.
Jacquet K.
3-66-736-46-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Safiullin R.
6-47-56-4
Tabilo A.
Cazaux A.
5-76-36-21-66-3
Walton A.
Marterer M.
7-634-66-32-66-2
Moutet C.[30]
Tabur C.
6-37-666-3
Popyrin A.[25]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-41-2
Rublev A.[11]
Harris L.[31]
6-44-66-36-1
Paul T.[24]
Moller E.
6-756-26-36-1
Misolic F.
Yunchaokete B.
5-77-637-646-1
Gaston H.
Blanchet U.
2-66-02-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Cerundolo F.[25]
7-56-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-46-37-5
Navone M.
Nakashima B.[31]
7-624-66-16-2
Medjedovic H.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-37-62
Cobolli F.[10]
Cilic M.
6-26-16-3
Griekspoor T.[29]
Giron M.
4-66-36-47-5
Zverev A.[2]
Tien L.[18]
6-36-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-26-746-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zeppieri G.
6-36-46-2
Opelka R.
Hijikata R.
1-66-37-57-63
Munar J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-17-5
Gomez F.
Kovacevic A.
4-66-46-46-1
Musetti L.[8]
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-26-0
Carreno Busta P.
Comesana F.
6-27-637-5
Cerundolo J.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-36-26-4
Draper J.[5]
Bellucci M.
3-66-16-46-2
Gigante M.
Hassan B.
6-46-26-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Djere L.
6-36-47-66
Ofner S.
Struff J.
7-656-36-756-2
Rocha H.[11]
Basilashvili N.[9]
7-602-67-692-66-2
Gasquet R.
Atmane T.
6-22-66-36-0
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-736-746-46-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.[31]
Bergs Z.
4-66-37-656-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-36-3
Norrie C.
Medvedev D.[6]
7-56-34-61-67-5
Lehecka J.[12]
Thompson J.
6-46-26-1
Monfils G.
Dellien H.
4-63-66-17-646-1
Brooksby J.
Faria J.
6-13-66-36-2
Nava E.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-27-57-5
Shevchenko A.
Lajovic D.[20]
6-26-47-64
Humbert U.[32]
Oconnell C.
7-56-37-63
Fonseca J.[28]
Hurkacz H.[30]
6-26-46-2
Marozsan F.
Nardi L.
6-26-37-63
Fils A.[14]
Jarry N.
6-36-46-766-3
Arnaldi M.
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
5-72-66-36-46-2
Korda S.[23]
Darderi L.[14]
6-24-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[27]
Martinez P.[24]
6-26-06-3
Bublik A.[9]
Duckworth J.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[15]
Ramos A.
6-36-46-2
Tsitsipas S.[20]
Etcheverry T.[23]
7-56-36-4