Jannik Sinner vs Alexander BublikDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Sinner J.
2-6 7-6 6-4
Bublik A.
Sinner J.
27762
Bublik A.
66241

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Bublik 2-6 7-6 6-4 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQFhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-4
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner6-1 6-1 6-1
2025-06-16HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayJannik Sinner6-1 7-5 6-0
2023-06-19HalleQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-5 2-0 RET
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersQFhardJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Bublik A.
100
Serve
65
100
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
77%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
58%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
67
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
43
74

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%