Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik — Vienna Quarter-final

Vienna · ATP · Quarter-final
Jannik Sinner
ITA1
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
Alexander Bublik
KAZ8
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Sinner J.
6-4 6-4
Bublik A.
Sinner J.
662
Bublik A.
440

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-4 in the Vienna quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardJannik Sinner6-1 6-1 6-1
2025-06-16HalleR16grassAlexander Bublik3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayJannik Sinner6-1 7-5 6-0
2023-06-19HalleQFgrassAlexander Bublik7-5 2-0 RET
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersQFhardJannik Sinner7-6(5) 6-4
2021-03-15DubaiR32hardJannik Sinner2-6 7-6(2) 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Bublik A.
100
Serve
65
100
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
73%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
10.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
67
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Bublik A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+426 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1837
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Bublik A.
Freshness·Slight edge
59
70

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Zverev A.[2]
3-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
De Minaur A.[3]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Musetti L.[4]
6-47-5
Quarter-finals
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.
W/O
De Minaur A.[3]
Berrettini M.
6-17-64
Musetti L.[4]
Moutet C.
6-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Bublik A.[8]
6-46-4
R16
Griekspoor T.
Nakashima B.
7-647-62
Sinner J.[1]
Cobolli F.
6-27-64
Bublik A.[8]
Cerundolo F.
6-46-2
Berrettini M.
Norrie C.
7-666-796-4
Moutet C.
Medvedev D.[6]
7-636-4
De Minaur A.[3]
Misolic F.
6-46-4
Zverev A.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Musetti L.[4]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-4
R32
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
7-666-2
Musetti L.[4]
Medjedovic H.
6-46-3
Norrie C.
Rublev A.[7]
6-26-756-2
Cerundolo F.
Michelsen A.
6-36-1
Sinner J.[1]
Altmaier D.
6-06-2
Arnaldi M.
Kovacevic A.
7-56-4
Nakashima B.
Darderi L.
6-27-5
Berrettini M.
Popyrin A.
7-656-3
Medvedev D.[6]
Borges N.
6-46-776-2
Misolic F.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-57-66
De Minaur A.[3]
Rodionov J.
6-46-1
Moutet C.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-0
Etcheverry T.
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-36-3
Zverev A.[2]
Fearnley J.
6-41-67-65
Bublik A.[8]
Tabilo A.
6-46-4
Griekspoor T.
Khachanov K.[5]
6-35-76-4