Ugo Humbert vs Jenson BrooksbyEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
#28ATP
1868ELO
1769Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
grass
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Grass ELO
$546kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
Humbert U.
6-3 6-2
Brooksby J.
Humbert U.
662
Brooksby J.
320

Ugo Humbert advanced to the quarterfinals at Eastbourne, defeating Jenson Brooksby in the Round of 16. Humbert won the match 6-3, 6-2, breaking Brooksby's serve three times while not conceding a break himself.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoR32hardJenson Brooksby7-6 6-3
2025-06-23EastbourneSFgrassJenson Brooksby6-7 6-4 6-4
2022-10-24BaselR32hardUgo Humbert6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Dominant
24
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Humbert U.71%
Brooksby J.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Humbert U. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+45 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1528
6.3Overall Elo 1840
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1737
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
6.36 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
71

Humbert U.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Brooksby J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw