Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#26ATP
1999ELO
1699Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Interrupted
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 5th on
#71ATP
1801ELO
1598Grass ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
Jodar R.
3-6 6-3 1-6 2-1
Carreno Busta P.
Jodar R.
36121
Carreno Busta P.
63612

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Key context

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
97
Break points won·Slight edge
71
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
82
Tiebreaks·Even
95
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 40%

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+101 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Grass Elo 1598
7.5Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1800
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
88

Jodar R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Rafael Jodar faces Pablo Carreno Busta in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Rafael Jodar holds the paper edge — ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-31Roland GarrosR16clayRafael Jodar4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final