Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Roland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 16
Rafael Jodar
ESP27
Rafael Jodar
#25ATP
1999ELO
1949Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
3 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 31 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Suzanne-Lenglen · 2nd on
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP
Pablo Carreno Busta
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Jodar R.
4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2
Carreno Busta P.
Jodar R.
446663
Carreno Busta P.
661222

Rafael Jodar recovered from two sets down to beat Pablo Carreno Busta in five sets in the Roland Garros round of 16.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 7: A 13-point game with four deuces went Pablo Carreno Busta's way.
  • Set 5, game 3: Rafael Jodar broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Rafael Jodar converted 8 of 11 break points; Pablo Carreno Busta converted 4 of 14 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Jodar R.
Carreno Busta P.
Break points won
8/11
4/14
Break points saved
10/14
3/11

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-02WimbledonR64grassRafael Jodar3-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jodar R.Carreno Busta P.
60
Serve
—
85
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.Carreno Busta P.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.Carreno Busta P.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
97
Break points won·Slight edge
71
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
80
Tiebreaks·Even
93
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Carreno Busta P.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+196 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1739
7.6Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1773
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.6Won 59% in FRA (54)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.Carreno Busta P.
Freshness·Slight edge
85
92

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 52%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Tabur C.
6-16-36-4
Fearnley J.
Cerundolo J.
2-66-706-77
Landaluce M.
Prado Angelo J.
6-34-66-26-736-4
Kopriva V.
Moutet C.[30]
6-35-76-43-66-3
Rinderknech A.[22]
Rodionov J.
7-656-26-3
Fucsovics M.
Berrettini M.
7-625-71-62-6
Quinn E.
Comesana F.
4-66-786-74
Ofner S.
Darderi L.[14]
6-752-63-6
Bublik A.[9]
Struff J.
5-77-664-65-7
Faria J.
Shapovalov D.
6-47-56-4
Munar J.
Hurkacz H.
3-63-66-23-6
Spizzirri E.
Tiafoe F.[19]
3-67-654-63-6
Griekspoor T.[29]
Arnaldi M.
7-693-66-763-6
Muller A.
Tsitsipas S.
2-60-3
Collignon R.
Vukic A.
6-36-37-64
Merida Aguilar D.
Shelton B.[5]
3-63-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Altmaier D.
4-66-44-66-17-67
Baez S.
Burruchaga R.
6-25-72-60-2
Van Assche L.
Gaubas V.
6-46-22-67-5
Bautista Agut R.
Nakashima B.[31]
2-65-72-6
Norrie C.
Vallejo A.
6-770-2
Cilic M.
Kouame M.
6-742-61-6
Tabilo A.
Majchrzak K.
6-16-36-4
Faurel T.
Vacherot V.[16]
3-64-66-36-76
Cobolli F.[10]
Pellegrino A.
6-47-646-3
Wu Y.
Giron M.
7-56-26-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Zhang Z.
6-16-46-3
Garin C.
Tien L.[18]
0-66-20-62-6
Cerundolo F.[25]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-46-776-4
Gaston H.
Monfils G.
6-26-33-62-66-0
Popyrin A.
Svajda Z.
6-33-66-735-7
Walton A.
Medvedev D.[6]
6-21-66-11-66-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Samuel T.
6-46-46-2
Blockx A.
Wong C.
6-36-46-2
Navone M.
Brooksby J.
6-46-46-4
Droguet T.
Mensik J.[26]
3-62-64-6
Etcheverry T.[23]
Borges N.
3-64-62-6
Kecmanovic M.
Marozsan F.
7-606-36-4
Nava E.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-7103-63-6
Buse I.
Rublev A.[11]
3-67-663-65-7
Ruud C.[15]
Safiullin R.
6-27-655-70-66-2
Medjedovic H.
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-46-716-4
Sonego L.
Herbert P.
7-635-76-21-66-4
Hijikata R.
Paul T.[24]
6-43-65-74-6
Fonseca J.[28]
Pavlovic L.
7-666-46-2
Zheng M.
Prizmic D.
1-61-63-6
Dellien H.
Royer V.
4-62-62-6
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Djokovic N.[3]
7-55-71-64-6
Fritz T.[7]
Basavareddy N.
6-756-757-691-6
Shevchenko A.
Michelsen A.
2-64-62-6
Duckworth J.
Diallo G.
6-34-1
Kovacevic A.
Jodar R.[27]
1-60-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Dzumhur D.
6-736-32-67-56-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Tirante T.
3-66-767-650-6
Kokkinakis T.
Atmane T.
6-756-24-66-37-5
Carreno Busta P.
Lehecka J.[12]
6-37-636-3
Khachanov K.[13]
Gea A.
6-37-636-0
Jacquet K.
Trungelliti M.
4-62-62-6
Cina F.
Opelka R.
3-66-46-26-766-4
Wawrinka S.
De Jong J.
3-66-33-64-6
Humbert U.[32]
Mannarino A.
6-36-46-3
Halys Q.
Bellucci M.
6-37-646-3
Machac T.
Bergs Z.
6-46-46-3
Bonzi B.
Zverev A.[2]
3-64-62-6
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo J.
6-36-25-71-61-6
Landaluce M.
Kopriva V.
1-62-66-47-56-0
Rinderknech A.[22]
Berrettini M.
4-64-64-6
Comesana F.
Darderi L.[14]
7-654-66-42-66-4
Struff J.
Faria J.
5-76-712-6
Hurkacz H.
Tiafoe F.[19]
7-656-754-67-614-6
Arnaldi M.
Tsitsipas S.
7-625-76-36-2
Collignon R.
Shelton B.[5]
6-47-56-4
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Burruchaga R.
4-66-07-56-1
Van Assche L.
Nakashima B.[31]
7-654-67-51-63-6
Vallejo A.
Kouame M.
3-65-76-36-26-78
Tabilo A.
Vacherot V.[16]
Cobolli F.[10]
Wu Y.
6-46-46-4
Diaz Acosta F.
Tien L.[18]
5-76-46-36-743-6
Cerundolo F.[25]
Gaston H.
2-66-46-26-1
Svajda Z.
Walton A.
6-36-46-746-2
De Minaur A.[8]
Blockx A.
Navone M.
Mensik J.[26]
3-66-24-66-16-711
Borges N.
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-26-16-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Rublev A.[11]
1-66-13-66-75
Ruud C.[15]
Medjedovic H.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Paul T.[24]
3-62-64-6
Fonseca J.[28]
Prizmic D.
3-64-66-36-16-2
Royer V.
Djokovic N.[3]
3-62-67-673-6
Basavareddy N.
Michelsen A.
6-753-66-33-6
Duckworth J.
Jodar R.[27]
1-67-654-65-7
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Tirante T.
6-46-741-63-6
Kokkinakis T.
Carreno Busta P.
5-76-40-1
Khachanov K.[13]
Trungelliti M.
7-655-76-17-64
Cina F.
De Jong J.
3-61-63-6
Humbert U.[32]
Halys Q.
4-66-746-78
Machac T.
Zverev A.[2]
4-62-62-6
Cerundolo J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-777-646-747-68
Berrettini M.
Comesana F.
7-635-76-746-47-613
Faria J.
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-47-626-741-62-6
Arnaldi M.
Collignon R.
6-46-755-76-47-64
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Nakashima B.[31]
5-76-17-647-61
Kouame M.
Tabilo A.
6-43-64-66-79
Cobolli F.[10]
Tien L.[18]
6-26-26-3
Cerundolo F.[25]
Svajda Z.
3-64-66-36-43-6
De Minaur A.[8]
Mensik J.[26]
6-02-62-63-6
Borges N.
Rublev A.[11]
5-76-726-72
Ruud C.[15]
Paul T.[24]
4-66-746-47-647-5
Fonseca J.[28]
Djokovic N.[3]
4-64-66-37-57-5
Michelsen A.
Jodar R.[27]
6-727-656-43-63-6
Tirante T.
Carreno Busta P.
6-705-76-34-6
Khachanov K.[13]
De Jong J.
5-77-52-67-622-6
Halys Q.
Zverev A.[2]
4-63-67-52-6
Cerundolo J.
Berrettini M.
3-66-726-76
Tiafoe F.[19]
Arnaldi M.
6-757-656-36-734-6
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Tabilo A.
6-37-56-1
Cobolli F.[10]
Svajda Z.
6-26-36-737-65
Mensik J.[26]
Rublev A.[11]
6-37-664-62-66-3
Ruud C.[15]
Fonseca J.[28]
5-76-787-52-6
Jodar R.[27]
Carreno Busta P.
4-64-66-16-26-2
De Jong J.
Zverev A.[2]
6-734-61-6
Berrettini M.
Arnaldi M.
5-72-5
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-44-64-64-6
Mensik J.[26]
Fonseca J.[28]
6-46-37-63
Jodar R.[27]
Zverev A.[2]
6-731-63-6
Arnaldi M.
Cobolli F.[10]
Mensik J.[26]
Zverev A.[2]
5-72-66-33-6
Cobolli F.[10]
Zverev A.[2]
1-66-44-67-651-6