Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
#9ATP
1909ELO
1857Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 3rd on
#13ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Fritz T.
7-6 6-4 6-4
Bublik A.
Fritz T.
7663
Bublik A.
6440

Taylor Fritz advanced to the quarterfinals of Wimbledon with a straight-sets victory over Alexander Bublik, winning 7-6, 6-4, 6-4. Fritz served effectively, hitting 23 aces and committing just one double fault, and converted 75% of his break points. Bublik hit 13 aces but struggled with double faults and converting break points at a 33% rate.

Around the match

  • Just to get through it in three straight, especially after going down a break to start the first set, I'm super happy with how I played.

  • I didn't have a lot left in the tank after Frances' match, but I did everything to prepare and I fought until the end.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

44
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-13StuttgartSFgrassTaylor Fritz4-6 4-6
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardAlexander Bublik7-6 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64clayTaylor Fritz6-4 6-4
2022-09-15Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs KAZRRhardTaylor Fritz7-6 1-6 6-3
2022-06-20EastbourneQFgrassTaylor Fritz6-3 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersR16hardAlexander Bublik6-7 6-3 6-4
2020-01-13AdelaideR32hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6
2019-09-23ChengduR32hardAlexander Bublik4-6 7-5 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
71%
68%
Return points won·Even
33%
33%
Break points saved·Even
67%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.7
11.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
81
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
36
54
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Fritz T.63%
Bublik A.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Fritz T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1802
5.2Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1889
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
8.28 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.7Won 79% in United Kingdom (52)
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in United Kingdom (33)
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 19%

Draw