Sebastian Baez vs Taylor Fritz — United Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
Sebastian Baez
ARG14
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Taylor Fritz
USA1
Taylor Fritz
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Baez S.
4-6 7-5 6-4
Fritz T.
Baez S.
4762
Fritz T.
6541

Sebastian Baez defeated Taylor Fritz 4-6 7-5 6-4 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 5–0. Sebastian Baez claimed a first win over Taylor Fritz in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayTaylor Fritz6-2 6-3
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz6-2 6-2
2023-10-30Paris MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-4
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-2
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Baez S.Fritz T.
5
Serve
76
63
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baez S.Fritz T.
1st serve in·Even
72%
69%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
15.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baez S.Fritz T.
Clutch Rating·Even
87
87
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Dominant
86
60
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Fritz T.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 57 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1709
Surface ELO
7.8+130 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1909
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.5
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baez S.Fritz T.
Freshness·Dominant
94
63

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw

Final
Hurkacz H.[9]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[9]
Fritz T.[1]
7-617-62
Bergs Z.[7]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-36-746-3
Quarter-finals
Bergs Z.[7]
Mensik J.[11]
6-27-64
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Fritz T.[1]
6-47-5
Baez S.[14]
Wawrinka S.[16]
7-56-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Hurkacz H.[9]
6-44-66-4
Round Robin
De Minaur A.[4]
Mensik J.[11]
6-46-1
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Zhang Z.[18]
6-46-4
Baez S.[14]
Fritz T.[1]
4-67-56-4
Fritz T.[1]
Munar J.[10]
7-643-67-66
Zhang Z.[18]
Bergs Z.[7]
6-727-637-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Harris B.[5]
4-66-17-64
Harris B.[5]
Mochizuki S.[13]
7-646-3
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Mochizuki S.[13]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.[8]
Cobolli F.[3]
6-747-657-5
Baez S.[14]
Munar J.[10]
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Griekspoor T.[15]
6-37-64
Cobolli F.[3]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-46-727-64
Wawrinka S.[16]
Rinderknech A.[8]
5-77-657-65
Mensik J.[11]
Ruud C.[17]
7-57-66
Ruud C.[17]
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[15]
7-56-0
Bergs Z.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
6-46-2