Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Alexander Bublik
KAZ13
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
Taylor Fritz
USA4
Taylor Fritz
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Bublik A.
7-6 6-2
Fritz T.
Bublik A.
7762
Fritz T.
6520

Alexander Bublik defeated Taylor Fritz 7-6 6-2 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-06WimbledonR16grassTaylor Fritz7.7-6.1 6-4 6-4
2026-06-13StuttgartSFgrassTaylor Fritz4-6 4-6
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64clayTaylor Fritz6-4 6-4
2022-09-15Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs KAZRRhardTaylor Fritz7-6(6) 1-6 6-3
2022-06-20EastbourneQFgrassTaylor Fritz6-3 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersR16hardAlexander Bublik6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2020-01-13AdelaideR32hardAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(4)
2019-09-23ChengduR32hardAlexander Bublik4-6 7-5 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Fritz T.
65
Serve
76
25
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Fritz T.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
71%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.9
12.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Fritz T.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
67
60
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Fritz T.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1837
Surface ELO
5.9+2 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1909
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.6
Country comfort
5.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Fritz T.
Freshness·Even
66
63

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-06-1
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Bublik A.[13]
7-636-4
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Vacherot V.
6-26-2
Bublik A.[13]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-756-47-5
Sinner J.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[3]
Medvedev D.[11]
2-66-37-65
R16
Shelton B.[5]
Rublev A.[12]
7-666-3
De Minaur A.[6]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-26-2
Zverev A.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[2]
Cerundolo F.
7-56-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Sonego L.
3-67-656-4
Vacherot V.
Norrie C.
7-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Altmaier D.
3-66-36-2
Bublik A.[13]
Fritz T.[4]
7-656-2
R32
Medvedev D.[11]
Dimitrov G.
W/O
Shelton B.[5]
Cobolli F.
7-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Kecmanovic M.
7-51-67-64
Sinner J.[2]
Bergs Z.
6-46-2
Rublev A.[12]
Tien L.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[6]
Diallo G.
7-684-66-3
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Muller A.
5-77-657-64
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
6-796-36-4
Altmaier D.
Ruud C.[8]
6-37-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Cazaux A.
7-656-4
Sonego L.
Musetti L.[7]
3-66-36-1
Norrie C.
Alcaraz C.[1]
4-66-36-4
Fritz T.[4]
Vukic A.
7-646-2
Bublik A.[13]
Moutet C.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[3]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-756-17-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Fonseca J.
6-13-66-3
R64
Cazaux A.
Darderi L.
7-657-64
Rinderknech A.
Marozsan F.
7-657-64
Vacherot V.
Lehecka J.[14]
6-16-3
Muller A.
Nakashima B.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Michelsen A.
6-32-66-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Etcheverry T.
7-56-3
Diallo G.
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Fonseca J.
Shapovalov D.
5-76-46-3
Dimitrov G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-656-1
Medvedev D.[11]
Munar J.
6-16-3
Tien L.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Cerundolo F.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-26-3
Cobolli F.
Machac T.
6-16-4
Altmaier D.
Giron M.
6-27-65
Vukic A.
Atmane T.
6-42-66-4
Norrie C.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[12]
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Comesana F.
6-726-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-41-67-62
Moutet C.
Opelka R.
3-67-56-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[15]
Royer V.
4-66-16-4
Khachanov K.[10]
Quinn E.
6-16-1