Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz — Stuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Semi-final

KAZ

Alexander Bublik

#11ATP

1920ELO

1829Grass ELO

$1.1MYTD

$12MCAREER

28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLWWLWLL

—

Sets

Saturday, 13 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

USA

Taylor Fritz

#9ATP

1868ELO

1808Grass ELO

$1.1MYTD

$30MCAREER

28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWWLWL

Alexander Bublik faces Taylor Fritz in the Stuttgart semi-final on grass. They have met 7 times, Alexander Bublik leading 4–3, Taylor Fritz ahead 1–0 on grass.

Key context

Head-to-head: Alexander Bublik leads the head-to-head 4–3, 0–1 on grass. Last met at Paris Masters 2025.
Last match: Taylor Fritz dropped the opening set before beating Mattia Bellucci 5–7 7–5 7–5.
Last match: Alexander Bublik won all two sets in tiebreaks against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
Fatigue load: Taylor Fritz carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC

Bublik A.54%

Fritz T.46%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bublik A.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Fritz T.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.3+21 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.7Grass Elo 1808

5.6Overall Elo 1920

ELO gap

4.4Overall Elo 1868

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

8.89 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

8.99 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

4–3

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-10-27	Paris Masters	R16	hard	Alexander Bublik	7-6(5) 6-2
2024-07-29	Paris Olympics	R64	clay	Taylor Fritz	6-4 6-4
2022-09-15	Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs KAZ	RR	hard	Taylor Fritz	7-6(6) 1-6 6-3
2022-06-20	Eastbourne	QF	grass	Taylor Fritz	6-3 6-2
2021-03-22	Miami Masters	R16	hard	Alexander Bublik	6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2020-01-13	Adelaide	R32	hard	Alexander Bublik	6-4 7-6(4)
2019-09-23	Chengdu	R32	hard	Alexander Bublik	4-6 7-5 7-5

View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form

Bublik A.Fritz T.

64%1st serve in+5%69%

75%1st serve points won+5%80%

52%2nd serve points won+1%51%

67%Service points won+4%71%

34%Return points won+1%33%

65%Break points saved+3%68%

9.8Aces / match+6.115.9

3.2Double faults / match+1.61.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.