Alexander Bublik vs Taylor FritzAdelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 32
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2020
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Bublik A.
6-4 7-6
Fritz T.
Bublik A.
6772
Fritz T.
4640

Alexander Bublik defeated Taylor Fritz 6-4 7-6 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-06WimbledonR16grassTaylor Fritz7.7-6.1 6-4 6-4
2026-06-13StuttgartSFgrassTaylor Fritz4-6 4-6
2025-10-27Paris MastersR16hardAlexander Bublik7-6(5) 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64clayTaylor Fritz6-4 6-4
2022-09-15Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs KAZRRhardTaylor Fritz7-6(6) 1-6 6-3
2022-06-20EastbourneQFgrassTaylor Fritz6-3 6-2
2021-03-22Miami MastersR16hardAlexander Bublik6-7(5) 6-3 6-4
2019-09-23ChengduR32hardAlexander Bublik4-6 7-5 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Fritz T.
65
Serve
76
25
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
69%
Aces / match·Even
11.1
11.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
67
60
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
63

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 21%