Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev — Wimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Quarter-final
Taylor Fritz
USA
Taylor Fritz
#7ATP
1909ELO
1857Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
Alexander Zverev
GER
Alexander Zverev
#3ATP
2100ELO
1914Grass ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWLWWWWW
Fritz T.
vs
Zverev A.

Taylor Fritz faces Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon quarter-final on grass. Alexander Zverev is the paper favourite — ranked #3, defending last year's round of 128, a roughly 60-point grass Elo advantage — but Taylor Fritz has won 10 of their 15 previous meetings. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Fritz T.26%
Zverev A.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zverev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fritz T.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Zverev A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1857
Surface ELO
5.7+57 Grass Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 2100
8.2Leads 3–0 on grass
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on grass
8.48 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Won 67% in GBR (43)
Country comfort
6.1Won 69% in GBR (29)
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
7.0Plays well in heat
Heat performance

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fritz T.Rising
Zverev A.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
Fritz T.Zverev A.
1st serve in·Even
69%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
57%
Service points won·Even
71%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
68%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
9.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving97% hold

wins 79% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Fritz T.Zverev A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
60
90
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Fritz T.Zverev A.
Freshness·Clear edge
52
67

Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 131 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
29°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 38%

Head to head

10–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-20HalleSFgrassTaylor Fritz7.7-6.4 4-6 5-7
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(4)
2025-06-09StuttgartFgrassTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(0)
2024-11-11Tour FinalsSFhardTaylor Fritz6-3 3-6 7-6(3)
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-4 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassTaylor Fritz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 6-3
2024-05-06Rome MastersQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2023-01-02United CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardTaylor Fritz4-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassAlexander Zverev6-7(3) 6-4 6-3 7-6(4)
2019-10-21BaselR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(7) 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonR64grassAlexander Zverev6-4 5-7 6-7(0) 6-1 6-2
2016-07-18WashingtonR32hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.[1]
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-766-26-3
Borges N.
Boyer T.
6-37-57-5
Vukic A.
Brooksby J.
6-771-61-6
Nava E.
Buse I.[31]
6-736-35-70-6
Jodar R.[23]
Gill F.
6-36-37-5
Shapovalov D.
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-770-0
Mochizuki S.
Basing M.
6-36-06-0
Quinn E.
Darderi L.[14]
7-677-56-2
Ruud C.[11]
Hurkacz H.
4-62-66-77
Medjedovic H.
Ofner S.
6-12-66-43-64-6
Kwon S.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-3
Muller A.
Paul T.[21]
1-62-61-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-37-657-5
Struff J.
Baez S.
6-17-644-62-67-5
Ugo Carabelli C.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-46-32-60-3
Cilic M.
Medvedev D.[8]
1-62-64-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-16-4
Walton A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-734-62-6
Vallejo A.
Mejia N.
6-44-65-76-72
Zheng M.
Norrie C.[26]
6-776-26-726-37-64
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Cerundolo J.
6-46-47-62
Tirante T.
Marozsan F.
5-73-64-6
Van Assche L.
Fucsovics M.
3-60-4
Svrcina D.
Tien L.[16]
1-64-67-643-6
Rublev A.[12]
Safiullin R.
4-67-666-33-66-712
Kovacevic A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-67-624-60-6
De Jong J.
Hijikata R.
7-643-65-76-46-3
Bautista Agut R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-744-63-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Tarvet O.
7-647-644-67-5
Trungelliti M.
Damm M.
6-757-656-726-75
Gaston H.
Tsitsipas S.
1-64-62-6
Wu Y.
Djokovic N.[7]
4-67-54-64-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-16-0
Mannarino A.
Droguet T.
6-26-46-1
Bellucci M.
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
Tabilo A.[30]
6-37-57-5
Khachanov K.[19]
Harris B.
6-35-76-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-767-696-26-3
Griekspoor T.
Duckworth J.
4-66-45-74-6
Navone M.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-16-753-66-78
Mensik J.[15]
Samuel T.
5-76-36-33-67-67
Sweeny D.
Dimitrov G.
6-743-65-7
Wawrinka S.
Berrettini M.
7-676-7166-776-75
Collignon R.
Fils A.[20]
5-71-63-6
Humbert U.[27]
Bergs Z.
2-65-76-46-33-6
Shimabukuro S.
Faria J.
6-763-67-623-6
Dzumhur D.
Fery A.
6-32-62-61-6
Virtanen O.
Shelton B.[4]
6-43-66-786-27-69
Fritz T.[6]
Draper J.
Kypson P.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-16-46-4
Bonzi B.
Diallo G.
6-16-46-753-61-3
Sonego L.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-46-46-727-64
Tiafoe F.[17]
Atmane T.
7-666-14-66-4
Kopriva V.
Choinski J.
3-65-72-6
Jacquet K.
Gaubas V.
6-36-47-62
Kokkinakis T.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-67-6103-64-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Popyrin A.
6-46-26-4
Molcan A.
Altmaier D.
6-43-67-56-2
Michelsen A.
Fearnley J.
6-36-42-63-62-6
Munar J.
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-46-3
Arnaldi M.[32]
Halys Q.
6-31-66-753-6
Moutet C.
Giron M.
6-44-65-74-6
Royer V.
Wendelken H.
4-66-36-36-3
Blockx A.
Zverev A.[2]
4-67-686-756-70
Sinner J.[1]
Borges N.
7-647-626-4
Brooksby J.
Buse I.[31]
6-26-26-3
Jodar R.[23]
Carreno Busta P.
3-66-31-66-36-4
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
6-27-667-5
Hurkacz H.
Ofner S.
7-686-46-4
Kwon S.
Paul T.[21]
3-66-742-6
Nakashima B.[28]
Struff J.
6-46-766-757-666-77
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.[8]
6-33-65-72-6
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Prizmic D.
7-626-37-5
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
7-646-781-64-6
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Marozsan F.
6-36-06-3
Fucsovics M.
Tien L.[16]
6-766-47-646-3
Safiullin R.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-04-66-33-67-65
De Jong J.
Fonseca J.[24]
1-65-74-6
Rinderknech A.[25]
Damm M.
6-47-616-3
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.[7]
3-64-62-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Mannarino A.
6-36-26-2
Svajda Z.
Majchrzak K.
2-66-26-756-46-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-46-4
Duckworth J.
Cobolli F.[9]
6-746-36-731-6
Mensik J.[15]
Dimitrov G.
6-756-45-73-6
Berrettini M.
Fils A.[20]
6-47-53-66-3
Bergs Z.
Faria J.
7-664-66-26-3
Fery A.
Virtanen O.
5-77-636-36-3
Fritz T.[6]
Kypson P.
6-26-27-5
Diallo G.
Sonego L.
6-746-46-747-662-6
Tiafoe F.[17]
Choinski J.
4-66-27-56-2
Jacquet K.
Bublik A.[10]
3-64-66-75
Lehecka J.[13]
Molcan A.
6-36-26-4
Fearnley J.
Munar J.
4-66-734-6
Halys Q.
Giron M.
6-753-64-6
Royer V.
Zverev A.[2]
1-63-66-73
Sinner J.[1]
Brooksby J.
6-46-36-4
Jodar R.[23]
Mochizuki S.
6-16-754-64-6
Hurkacz H.
Paul T.[21]
4-67-657-56-2
Struff J.
Medvedev D.[8]
7-647-657-5
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Zheng M.
7-616-26-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fucsovics M.
7-636-26-3
Safiullin R.
Fonseca J.[24]
6-36-36-3
Rinderknech A.[25]
Djokovic N.[7]
5-74-66-16-74
De Minaur A.[5]
Svajda Z.
6-25-76-26-4
Khachanov K.[19]
Cobolli F.[9]
6-06-747-652-62-6
Dimitrov G.
Berrettini M.
6-36-43-65-76-3
Bergs Z.
Fery A.
6-25-76-26-736-75
Fritz T.[6]
Sonego L.
4-66-36-47-65
Tiafoe F.[17]
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-756-7116-43-6
Lehecka J.[13]
Munar J.
6-46-44-66-4
Giron M.
Zverev A.[2]
2-66-744-6
Sinner J.[1]
Mochizuki S.
6-37-606-3
Hurkacz H.
Struff J.
6-37-656-725-72-4
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
6-747-666-36-726-1
Safiullin R.
Djokovic N.[7]
6-763-66-33-6
De Minaur A.[5]
Cobolli F.[9]
5-76-743-6
Dimitrov G.
Fery A.
5-76-36-44-66-77
Fritz T.[6]
Bublik A.[10]
7-616-46-4
Lehecka J.[13]
Zverev A.[2]
4-65-76-36-76
Sinner J.
Struff J.
7-57-646-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Djokovic N.
6.10-7.12 6-3 3-6 0-0
Cobolli F.
Fery A.
Fritz T.
Zverev A.
Sinner J.
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