Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Zverev — United Cup Round Robin

United Cup · ATP · Round Robin
Hubert Hurkacz
POL9
Hubert Hurkacz
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Alexander Zverev
GER6
Alexander Zverev
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Hurkacz H.
6-3 6-4
Zverev A.
Hurkacz H.
662
Zverev A.
340

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4 in the United Cup round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17HalleSFgrassHubert Hurkacz7-6(2) 6-4
2024-01-01United CupFhardAlexander Zverev6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2019-05-06Madrid MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev3-6 6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Zverev A.
67
Serve
71
0
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Hurkacz H.Zverev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Even
68%
71%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.9
9.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hurkacz H.Zverev A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
40
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hurkacz H.
3.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 210 days (−1.5)
Zverev A.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
8.7+315 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
6.5
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Country comfort
6.3
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hurkacz H.Zverev A.
Freshness·Clear edge
68
45

Hurkacz H.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw

Final
Hurkacz H.[9]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[9]
Fritz T.[1]
7-617-62
Bergs Z.[7]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-36-746-3
Quarter-finals
Bergs Z.[7]
Mensik J.[11]
6-27-64
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Fritz T.[1]
6-47-5
Baez S.[14]
Wawrinka S.[16]
7-56-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Hurkacz H.[9]
6-44-66-4
Round Robin
De Minaur A.[4]
Mensik J.[11]
6-46-1
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Zhang Z.[18]
6-46-4
Baez S.[14]
Fritz T.[1]
4-67-56-4
Fritz T.[1]
Munar J.[10]
7-643-67-66
Zhang Z.[18]
Bergs Z.[7]
6-727-637-5
Hurkacz H.[9]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Harris B.[5]
4-66-17-64
Harris B.[5]
Mochizuki S.[13]
7-646-3
Tsitsipas S.[12]
Mochizuki S.[13]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.[8]
Cobolli F.[3]
6-747-657-5
Baez S.[14]
Munar J.[10]
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[9]
Griekspoor T.[15]
6-37-64
Cobolli F.[3]
Wawrinka S.[16]
6-46-727-64
Wawrinka S.[16]
Rinderknech A.[8]
5-77-657-65
Mensik J.[11]
Ruud C.[17]
7-57-66
Ruud C.[17]
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-3
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[15]
7-56-0
Bergs Z.[7]
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
6-46-2