Alexander Zverev vs Hubert HurkaczUnited Cup Final

United Cup · ATP · Final
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Zverev A.
6-7 7-6 6-4
Hurkacz H.
Zverev A.
637862
Hurkacz H.
776641

Alexander Zverev defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-7 7-6 6-4 in the United Cup final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, defending last year's round-robin. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05United CupRRhardHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-4
2024-06-17HalleSFgrassHubert Hurkacz7-6(2) 6-4
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
2019-05-06Madrid MastersR16clayAlexander Zverev3-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Hurkacz H.
71
Serve
67
42
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
12.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 106). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
90
40
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Even
100
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.7+315 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1727
8.3Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1798
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
6.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
72

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 72%