Hubert Hurkacz vs Taylor FritzUnited Cup Semi-final

United Cup · ATP · Semi-final
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Hurkacz H.
7-6 7-6
Fritz T.
Hurkacz H.
77772
Fritz T.
61620

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Taylor Fritz 7-6 7-6 in the United Cup semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Hubert Hurkacz narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaQFclayHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-6(5)
2024-12-27United CupFhardTaylor Fritz6-4 5-7 7-6(4)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR16clayTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 6-4
2023-01-02United CupSFhardTaylor Fritz7-6(5) 7-6(5)
2019-08-05Canada MastersR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-3 7-5
2019-06-24EastbourneQFgrassTaylor Fritz6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving94% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Fritz T.
67
Serve
76
0
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
71%
Return points won·Even
35%
33%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.1
16.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
40
60
Deciding sets·Even
94
98
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 210 days (−1.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 57 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1727
Surface ELO
7.3+112 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1909
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Country comfort
6.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
67

Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%