Alex De Minaur vs Taylor FritzTour Finals Round Robin

Tour Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#5ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 9 November 2025
hard
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
De Minaur A.
7-6 6-3
Fritz T.
De Minaur A.
7762
Fritz T.
6330

Alex De Minaur defeated Taylor Fritz 7-6 6-3 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, defending last year's round-robin. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

Head to head

55
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-21Davis Cup Finals QF: USA vs AUSRRhardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardTaylor Fritz5-7 6-4 6-3
2024-01-01United CupRRhardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersR16hardAlex De Minaur7-6(7) 4-6 6-1
2022-06-20EastbourneSFgrassTaylor Fritz6-1 6-7(5) 6-3
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR16hardTaylor Fritz3-6 6-4 7-6(5)
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardTaylor Fritz7-6(4) 6-2 1-6 6-4
2019-10-21BaselR16hardAlex De Minaur6-3 6-3
2019-07-22AtlantaFhardAlex De Minaur6-3 7-6(2)
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-3(8) 4-1 4-2

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Fritz T.
48
Serve
76
80
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
12.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
87
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
97
60
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1839
5.0Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1909
4.2
H2H
5.8
6.9
Surface form
5.8
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
8.2
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
72

De Minaur A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast