Taylor Fritz vs Alex De MinaurIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Fritz T.
3-6 6-4 7-6
De Minaur A.
Fritz T.
36772
De Minaur A.
64651

Taylor Fritz defeated Alex De Minaur 3-6 6-4 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 6–4, defending last year's round of 16. Taylor Fritz narrowed the head-to-head to 6–5.

Key context

Head to head

46
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur7-6(3) 6-3
2024-11-21Davis Cup Finals QF: USA vs AUSRRhardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardTaylor Fritz5-7 6-4 6-3
2024-01-01United CupRRhardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersR16hardAlex De Minaur7-6(7) 4-6 6-1
2022-06-20EastbourneSFgrassTaylor Fritz6-1 6-7(5) 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardTaylor Fritz7-6(4) 6-2 1-6 6-4
2019-10-21BaselR16hardAlex De Minaur6-3 6-3
2019-07-22AtlantaFhardAlex De Minaur6-3 7-6(2)
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAlex De Minaur4-3(8) 4-1 4-2

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fritz T.De Minaur A.
76
Serve
48
32
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
95
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
60
97
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1839
Surface ELO
5.3+97 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1961
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
7.1
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.9
Country comfort
5.4
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
63
73

Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%