Zizou Bergs vs Taylor FritzHalle Round of 32

Halle · ATP · Round of 32
#40ATP
1776ELO
1651Grass ELO
$861kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
grass
#9ATP
1849ELO
1799Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLWWL
Bergs Z.
vs
Fritz T.

Zizou Bergs faces Taylor Fritz in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #9, a roughly 150-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Bergs Z.24%
Fritz T.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Grass Elo 1651
Surface ELO
6.8+148 Grass Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1776
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1849
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.34 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bergs Z.Rising
Fritz T.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
15.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bergs Z.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
100
Break points won·Dominant
21
60
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
86
46

Bergs Z.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.