Taylor Fritz vs Zizou BergsWashington Round of 32

Washington · ATP · Round of 32
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 27 July 2026 ·
hard
#34ATP
1808ELO
1757Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$4.1MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWLL
Fritz T.
vs
Bergs Z.

Taylor Fritz faces Zizou Bergs in the Washington round of 32 on hard. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Fritz T.76%
Bergs Z.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
22 common opponents · Fritz T. 20–12 · Bergs Z. 12–13
Fritz T. better · different surfaces (Grass × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+82 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1757
6.3Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1808
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

20 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Even
68%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Bergs Z.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
88
Break points won·Clear edge
26
8
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Fritz T.: 17 days rest · Bergs Z.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-17HalleR32grassTaylor Fritz7-5 4-6

Draw