
Alexander Zverev faces Taylor Fritz in the Halle semi-final on grass. Alexander Zverev is the paper favourite — ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 110-point grass Elo advantage — but Taylor Fritz has won 9 of their 14 previous meetings.
Clear favourite · Zverev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | RR | hard | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | F | grass | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 7-6(0) |
| 2024-11-11 | Tour Finals | SF | hard | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 3-6 7-6(3) |
| 2024-09-20 | Laver Cup | RR | hard | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | QF | hard | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | QF | clay | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-01-02 | United Cup | RR | hard | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022-01-03 | Atp Cup | RR | hard | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-10-04 | Indian Wells Masters | QF | hard | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R32 | grass | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2019-10-21 | Basel | R32 | hard | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2018-07-02 | Wimbledon | R64 | grass | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 5-7 6-7(0) 6-1 6-2 |
| 2016-07-18 | Washington | R32 | hard | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-2 |