Alexander Zverev vs Taylor FritzHalle Semi-final

Halle · ATP · Semi-final
#3ATP
2104ELO
1907Grass ELO
$6.3MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWWWWWWWW
Sets
Saturday, 20 June 2026 ·
grass
#9ATP
1849ELO
1799Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLLL
Zverev A.
vs
Fritz T.

Alexander Zverev faces Taylor Fritz in the Halle semi-final on grass. Alexander Zverev is the paper favourite — ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 110-point grass Elo advantage — but Taylor Fritz has won 9 of their 14 previous meetings.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC
Zverev A.77%
Fritz T.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zverev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+108 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Grass Elo 1799
8.2Overall Elo 2104
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1849
2.2Trails 0–2 on grass
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on grass
7.98 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on grass
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
6.3Won 72% in DEU (89)
Country comfort
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Zverev A.Stable
Fritz T.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

34 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
80%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Service points won·Even
71%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
15.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving97% hold

wins 79% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
86
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
90
60
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Zverev A.Fritz T.
Serve
100
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
46

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 137 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

59
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(4)
2025-06-09StuttgartFgrassTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(0)
2024-11-11Tour FinalsSFhardTaylor Fritz6-3 3-6 7-6(3)
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-4 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardTaylor Fritz7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3)
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassTaylor Fritz4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 6-3
2024-05-06Rome MastersQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2023-01-02United CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardTaylor Fritz4-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassAlexander Zverev6-7(3) 6-4 6-3 7-6(4)
2019-10-21BaselR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6(7) 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonR64grassAlexander Zverev6-4 5-7 6-7(0) 6-1 6-2
2016-07-18WashingtonR32hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-2