Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev — Cincinnati Masters Semi-final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Semi-final
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP2
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
Alexander Zverev
GER3
Alexander Zverev
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-3
Zverev A.
Alcaraz C.
662
Zverev A.
430

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, defending last year's semi-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 7–6.

Key context

Head to head

6–6
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 6-7(4) 7-5
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev7-6(5) 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-1
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardAlexander Zverev6-1 6-3 6-7(2) 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-7(3) 6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 4-6 7-6(7)
2022-05-02Madrid MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-1
2021-10-25ViennaSFhardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3
2021-03-15AcapulcoR32hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Zverev A.
75
Serve
71
95
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Alcaraz C.Zverev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
69%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alcaraz C.Zverev A.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alcaraz C.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Zverev A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+47 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 2042
7.3Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 2100
2.7
H2H
7.3
6.4
Surface form
7.6
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.3
3-set count
0.0
6.7
Country comfort
6.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Alcaraz C.Zverev A.
Freshness·
—
45

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[1]
5-0
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Atmane T.
7-646-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
6-06-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Rublev A.[9]
6-34-67-5
Atmane T.
Rune H.[7]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Shelton B.[5]
6-26-2
R16
Zverev A.[3]
Khachanov K.[14]
7-53-0
Rune H.[7]
Tiafoe F.[10]
6-43-1
Shelton B.[5]
Lehecka J.[22]
6-46-4
Rublev A.[9]
Comesana F.
6-26-3
Atmane T.
Fritz T.[4]
3-67-56-3
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Bonzi B.
6-46-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Nardi L.
6-16-4
Sinner J.[1]
Mannarino A.
6-47-64
R32
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Rinderknech A.
7-644-2
Nardi L.
Mensik J.[16]
6-22-1
Lehecka J.[22]
Walton A.
7-657-63
Rune H.[7]
Michelsen A.[28]
7-646-3
Fritz T.[4]
Sonego L.[31]
7-647-5
Atmane T.
Fonseca J.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[9]
Popyrin A.[21]
6-757-657-5
Comesana F.
Opelka R.
6-746-47-5
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[13]
5-76-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Nakashima B.[27]
6-46-4
Bonzi B.
Tsitsipas S.[25]
6-746-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Diallo G.[30]
6-27-66
Khachanov K.[14]
Brooksby J.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[10]
Humbert U.[20]
6-46-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Shelton B.[5]
Bautista Agut R.
7-636-3
R64
Fonseca J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[17]
6-745-4
Sinner J.[1]
Galan D.
6-16-1
Shelton B.[5]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-33-1
Comesana F.
Darderi L.[29]
6-43-1
Popyrin A.[21]
Landaluce M.
7-636-3
Atmane T.
Cobolli F.[15]
6-43-67-65
Rinderknech A.
Ruud C.[11]
6-756-46-2
Nakashima B.[27]
Blockx A.
4-66-37-65
Humbert U.[20]
Wong C.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[16]
Quinn E.
6-46-2
Lehecka J.[22]
Boyer T.
4-66-16-4
Rublev A.[9]
Tien L.
7-646-3
Michelsen A.[28]
Moutet C.
3-66-36-4
Mannarino A.
Machac T.[19]
6-36-3
Sonego L.[31]
Bergs Z.
6-37-64
Auger Aliassime F.[23]
Etcheverry T.
6-27-63
Diallo G.[30]
Baez S.
7-56-4
Bautista Agut R.
Norrie C.[32]
6-46-3
Bonzi B.
Musetti L.[8]
5-76-47-64
Paul T.[13]
Martinez P.
6-26-2
Walton A.
Medvedev D.[12]
6-706-46-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-12-66-3
Tiafoe F.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-3
Fritz T.[4]
Nava E.
6-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[25]
Marozsan F.
7-636-2
Medjedovic H.
Griekspoor T.[26]
6-47-63
Nardi L.
Shapovalov D.[24]
6-756-36-4
Brooksby J.
Cazaux A.
7-56-1
Opelka R.
De Minaur A.[6]
7-666-4
Khachanov K.[14]
Royer V.
6-47-66
Rune H.[7]
Safiullin R.
7-57-65
Zverev A.[3]
Basavareddy N.
6-36-3
R128
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
7-677-65
Bautista Agut R.
Altmaier D.
7-657-61
Brooksby J.
Muller A.
7-625-76-1
Bergs Z.
Fearnley J.
6-16-4
Fonseca J.
Yunchaokete B.
4-66-27-5
Rinderknech A.
Borges N.
6-36-3
Medjedovic H.
Kovacevic A.
6-26-3
Carballes Baena R.
Gaston H.
6-45-76-3
Mannarino A.
Thompson J.
6-26-2
Blockx A.
Giron M.
6-23-66-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Nishikori K.
7-56-3
Etcheverry T.
Shang J.
6-757-646-4
Safiullin R.
Tabilo A.
6-36-3
Moutet C.
Mcdonald M.
7-56-3
Landaluce M.
Kypson P.
3-66-36-2
Boyer T.
Holt B.
6-37-63
Comesana F.
Munar J.
6-46-4
Atmane T.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-2
Tien L.
Riedi L.
6-36-4
Walton A.
Navone M.
4-67-636-1
Bonzi B.
Arnaldi M.
6-716-36-4
Galan D.
Kopriva V.
6-26-4
Basavareddy N.
Vukic A.
7-657-5
Marozsan F.
Smith C.
6-14-66-4
Opelka R.
Dellien H.
7-57-63
Nava E.
Coric B.
6-37-5
Quinn E.
Kecmanovic M.
7-656-4
Martinez P.
Jarry N.
1-66-46-3
Baez S.
Goffin D.
6-16-3
Royer V.
Ofner S.
5-76-36-3
Nardi L.
Tirante T.
6-47-65
Wong C.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-36-2