Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevAustralian Open Semi-final

Australian Open · ATP · Semi-final
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWW
Alcaraz C.
6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5
Zverev A.
Alcaraz C.
676673
Zverev A.
467752

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2, defending last year's final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 7–6.

Key context

Head to head

66
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-3
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev7-6 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-1
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardAlexander Zverev6-1 6-3 6-7 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-7 6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 4-6 7-6
2022-05-02Madrid MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-1
2021-10-25ViennaSFhardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3
2021-03-15AcapulcoR32hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
59%
Service points won·Even
68%
72%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
10.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
97
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Slight edge
98
89
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Zverev A.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw