Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander ZverevIndian Wells Masters Quarter-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Alcaraz C.
6-3 6-1
Zverev A.
Alcaraz C.
662
Zverev A.
310

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-1 in the Indian Wells Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 7–6.

Key context

Head to head

66
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 6-7(4) 7-5
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersSFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-3
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev7-6(5) 6-4
2024-05-27Roland GarrosFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenQFhardAlexander Zverev6-1 6-3 6-7(2) 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-7(3) 6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2 6-4
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-1 6-2
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 4-6 7-6(7)
2022-05-02Madrid MastersFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-1
2021-10-25ViennaSFhardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3
2021-03-15AcapulcoR32hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Zverev A.
74
Serve
71
95
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
70%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
98
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+47 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 2042
7.3Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.4
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.6
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
52

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%