Alexander Zverev vs Frances TiafoeIndian Wells Masters Round of 16

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Zverev A.
6-3 6-4
Tiafoe F.
Zverev A.
662
Tiafoe F.
340

Alexander Zverev defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 8–1, defending last year's round of 64. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 9–1.

Key context

Head to head

81
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 7-5 [10-5]
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayAlexander Zverev3-6 7-6(3) 6-1 7-6(5)
2021-10-25ViennaFhardAlexander Zverev7-5 6-4
2019-09-30BeijingR32hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-2
2019-08-26US OpenR64hardAlexander Zverev6-3 3-6 6-2 2-6 6-3
2018-10-29Paris MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2017-08-14Cincinnati MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe4-6 6-3 6-4
2017-07-03WimbledonR64grassAlexander Zverev6-3 6-4 6-3
2017-01-16Australian OpenR64hardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Tiafoe F.
71
Serve
38
42
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.0
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
90
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Even
100
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+180 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1861
7.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1918
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
3.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.1
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
76

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%