Sebastian Baez vs Alexander BublikRome Masters Round of 64

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 8 May 2026 ·
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Baez S.
1-6 2-6
Bublik A.
Baez S.
120
Bublik A.
662

Alexander Bublik defeated Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-2 in the Rome Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR128hardAlexander Bublik6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Bublik A.
1
Serve
55
44
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
9.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
88
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Clear edge
86
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
7.1+105 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
55

Baez S.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 74%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final