Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander BublikMonte Carlo Masters Quarter-final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 5 April 2026
clay
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Alcaraz C.
6-3 6-0
Bublik A.
Alcaraz C.
662
Bublik A.
300

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-0 in the Monte Carlo Masters quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alcaraz C.Bublik A.
Serve
55
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Even
68%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
10.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
88
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
67
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+279 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Clay Elo 1822
9.3Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
10.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
61

Bublik A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%