Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor FritzTour Finals Round Robin

Tour Finals · ATP · Round Robin
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 9 November 2025
hard
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Alcaraz C.
6-7 7-5 6-3
Fritz T.
Alcaraz C.
62762
Fritz T.
77531

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Taylor Fritz 6-7 7-5 6-3 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's round-robin. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-2
2025-06-30WimbledonSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 5-7 6-3 7-6(6)
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 7-5
2023-03-20Miami MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Fritz T.
75
Serve
76
95
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
12.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
87
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Dominant
99
60
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+250 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1839
8.6Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1909
7.3
H2H
2.7
7.7
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Fritz T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast