Felix Auger Aliassime vs Dino PrizmicWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#4ATP
1958ELO
1789Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$22MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
#89ATP
1841ELO
1600Grass ELO
$524kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWWWW
Auger Aliassime F.
vs
Prizmic D.

Felix Auger Aliassime faces Dino Prizmic in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Felix Auger Aliassime holds the paper edge — ranked #4, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 190-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:22 UTC
Auger Aliassime F.84%
Prizmic D.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Auger Aliassime F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+190 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Grass Elo 1600
6.5Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1841
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.14 of last 8 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

26 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
58%
Service points won·Even
70%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.7
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Prizmic D.

Prizmic D.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
84
71
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
92
Break points won·Clear edge
50
64
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Auger Aliassime F.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Prizmic D.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sinner J.
Borges N.
Mochizuki S.
Quinn E.
Kwon S.
Paul T.
Struff J.
Merida Aguilar D.
Medvedev D.
Auger Aliassime F.
Prizmic D.
Mejia N.
Zheng M.
Davidovich Fokina A.
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
Damm M.
Tsitsipas S.
Djokovic N.