Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey RublevUS Open Round of 16

US Open · ATP · Round of 16
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Auger Aliassime F.
7-5 6-3 6-4
Rublev A.
Auger Aliassime F.
7663
Rublev A.
534

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-3 6-4 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 128. Felix Auger Aliassime narrowed the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

17
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18HamburgSFclayAndrey Rublev6-1 6-4
2025-02-17DohaSFhardAndrey Rublev7-5 4-6 7-6(5)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersFclayAndrey Rublev4-6 7-5 7-5
2024-02-12RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev3-6 7-6(6) 7-5
2022-02-14MarseilleFhardAndrey Rublev7-5 7-6(4)
2022-02-07RotterdamSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-7(5) 6-4 6-2
2020-01-13AdelaideSFhardAndrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-7(7) 6-4
2018-07-16UmagR16clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Rublev A.
74
Serve
55
44
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.0
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
84
88
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
50
72
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
94

Auger Aliassime F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

R128
Bellucci M.
Shang J.
7-601-66-33-0
Norrie C.
Korda S.
7-56-4
Sinner J.
Kopriva V.
6-16-16-2
Giron M.
Navone M.
6-07-54-65-76-4
Rinderknech A.
Carballes Baena R.
7-627-54-66-2
Ruud C.
Ofner S.
6-16-27-65
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-16-2
Collignon R.
Galan D.
6-46-46-4
Harris L.
Baez S.
6-37-56-4
Darderi L.
Hijikata R.
6-26-16-2
Kym J.
Quinn E.
6-36-23-67-65
Cobolli F.
Passaro F.
7-54-66-43-66-3
Popyrin A.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-47-63
Royer V.
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-47-61
Svajda Z.
Piros Z.
6-46-27-5
Spizzirri E.
Dostanic S.
7-56-47-64
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.
6-37-56-750-66-4
Etcheverry T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-26-0
Bublik A.
Cilic M.
6-46-16-4
Schoolkate T.
Sonego L.
6-37-681-61-67-66
Borges N.
Holt B.
6-46-26-3
Paul T.
Moller E.
6-36-36-1
Musetti L.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-736-36-46-4
Goffin D.
Halys Q.
6-726-46-37-5
Brooksby J.
Vukic A.
6-36-746-43-66-4
Fearnley J.
Bautista Agut R.
7-56-25-76-4
Walton A.
Humbert U.
6-47-645-76-1
Wong C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-57-64
Boyer T.
Duckworth J.
6-37-56-4
Altmaier D.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-737-676-756-4
Mochizuki S.
Gaston H.
6-46-36-4
Comesana F.
Michelsen A.
1-66-36-46-4
Struff J.
Mcdonald M.
3-67-646-36-3
Safiullin R.
Monfils G.
6-42-66-13-66-4
Zverev A.
Tabilo A.
6-27-646-4
Draper J.
Gomez F.
6-47-56-776-2
Bergs Z.
Tseng C.
6-36-46-3
Rune H.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-37-647-62
Munar J.
Faria J.
6-06-35-76-2
Diallo G.
Dzumhur D.
7-644-67-57-5
Shapovalov D.
Fucsovics M.
6-46-46-0
Khachanov K.
Basavareddy N.
6-756-37-56-1
Rublev A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-46-4
Mensik J.
Jarry N.
7-656-36-4
Fonseca J.
Kecmanovic M.
7-637-656-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Harris B.
6-47-686-4
Machac T.
Nardi L.
6-36-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.
6-16-46-756-4
Lehecka J.
Coric B.
3-66-47-656-1
Mannarino A.
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-0
Thompson J.
Moutet C.
6-26-41-66-3
De Minaur A.
Oconnell C.
6-36-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-676-46-2
Shelton B.
Buse I.
6-36-26-4
Fritz T.
Nava E.
7-56-26-3
Nakashima B.
De Jong J.
6-26-752-66-27-67
Blanchet U.
Marozsan F.
6-43-67-676-2
Damm M.
Blanch D.
6-36-46-4
Tiafoe F.
Nishioka Y.
6-37-666-3
Riedi L.
Martinez P.
6-46-26-3
Alcaraz C.
Opelka R.
6-47-56-4
Cerundolo F.
Arnaldi M.
3-62-67-56-46-3
Tsitsipas S.
Muller A.
4-66-06-17-65
Djokovic N.
Tien L.
6-17-636-2