Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger AliassimeHamburg Semi-final

Hamburg · ATP · Semi-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#4ATP
1958ELO
1864Clay ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Rublev A.
6-1 6-4
Auger Aliassime F.
Rublev A.
662
Auger Aliassime F.
140

Andrey Rublev defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-1 6-4 in the Hamburg semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in leading the head-to-head 6–2. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 7–2.

Key context

Head to head

62
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-3 6-4
2025-02-17DohaSFhardAndrey Rublev7-5 4-6 7-6(5)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersFclayAndrey Rublev4-6 7-5 7-5
2024-02-12RotterdamR16hardAndrey Rublev3-6 7-6(6) 7-5
2022-02-14MarseilleFhardAndrey Rublev7-5 7-6(4)
2022-02-07RotterdamSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-7(5) 6-4 6-2
2020-01-13AdelaideSFhardAndrey Rublev7-6(5) 6-7(7) 6-4
2018-07-16UmagR16clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Auger Aliassime F.
14
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.5
10.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
84
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
72
50
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7+9 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Clay Elo 1864
3.8Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1958
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.6
Surface form
2.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.9
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
93
53

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%