Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti — Shanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Felix Auger Aliassime
CAN12
Felix Auger Aliassime
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA8
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Auger Aliassime F.
6-4 6-2
Musetti L.
Auger Aliassime F.
662
Musetti L.
420

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 64. Felix Auger Aliassime narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardLorenzo Musetti4-6 6-2 6-3
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsBRclayLorenzo Musetti6-4 1-6 6-3
2022-11-26Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs CANRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4
2022-10-10FlorenceSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-3
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti6-2 7-6(2)
2021-05-17LyonR32clayLorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 3-6 7-5
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayFelix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-3 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Musetti L.
74
Serve
54
44
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Auger Aliassime F.Musetti L.
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.0
4.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Auger Aliassime F.Musetti L.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
50
82
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Auger Aliassime F.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 55 days (−0.7)
Musetti L.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+129 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1804
5.2Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1869
6.1
H2H
3.9
6.0
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
1.8
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Auger Aliassime F.Musetti L.
Freshness·
64
—

Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
4-66-36-3
Semi-finals
Vacherot V.
Djokovic N.[4]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.
Medvedev D.[16]
4-66-26-4
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[16]
De Minaur A.[7]
6-46-4
Vacherot V.
Rune H.[10]
2-67-646-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Bergs Z.
6-37-5
Rinderknech A.
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
6-36-4
R16
Vacherot V.
Griekspoor T.[27]
4-67-616-4
Rune H.[10]
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
6-46-776-3
Bergs Z.
Diallo G.[31]
3-67-57-68
Rinderknech A.
Lehecka J.[15]
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Musetti L.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Munar J.
6-35-76-2
De Minaur A.[7]
Borges N.
7-56-2
Medvedev D.[16]
Tien L.
7-666-716-4
R32
Diallo G.[31]
Goffin D.
3-0
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
Fritz T.[5]
6-47-5
Griekspoor T.[27]
Sinner J.[2]
6-737-53-2
Vacherot V.
Machac T.[20]
6-03-1
Djokovic N.[4]
Hanfmann Y.
4-67-56-3
Lehecka J.[15]
Shapovalov D.[23]
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Cerundolo F.[19]
7-616-3
Borges N.
Shang J.
7-654-66-3
Munar J.
Nishioka Y.
6-45-76-1
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
De Jong J.
6-47-5
Rinderknech A.
Zverev A.[3]
4-66-36-2
Tien L.
Norrie C.[30]
7-646-3
Rune H.[10]
Humbert U.[21]
6-46-4
Musetti L.[8]
Darderi L.[26]
7-57-61
Medvedev D.[16]
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
6-37-65
De Minaur A.[7]
Majchrzak K.
6-17-5
R64
Bergs Z.
Ruud C.[11]
3-67-54-1
Cerundolo F.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-637-64
Darderi L.[26]
Yunchaokete B.
6-46-4
Nishioka Y.
Rublev A.[13]
2-66-16-4
Fritz T.[5]
Marozsan F.
2-67-647-61
Djokovic N.[4]
Cilic M.
7-626-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Brooksby J.
6-11-66-1
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Tabilo A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.[23]
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Shang J.
Khachanov K.[9]
7-636-3
Diallo G.[31]
Bonzi B.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Vukic A.
7-676-4
Vacherot V.
Bublik A.[14]
3-66-36-4
Hanfmann Y.
Tiafoe F.[25]
6-796-26-1
Sinner J.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
Nardi L.
6-37-64
Majchrzak K.
Nakashima B.[29]
6-46-0
Lehecka J.[15]
Halys Q.
6-47-5
Rune H.[10]
Baez S.
7-56-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.[28]
6-36-4
De Jong J.
Mensik J.[17]
4-67-626-4
Medvedev D.[16]
Svrcina D.
6-16-1
Tien L.
Moutet C.
4-66-46-4
Humbert U.[21]
Thompson J.
6-37-64
Machac T.[20]
Bellucci M.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[7]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-2
Norrie C.[30]
Cazaux A.
6-30-67-65
Musetti L.[8]
Comesana F.
6-46-0
Goffin D.
Shelton B.[6]
6-26-4
Munar J.
Cobolli F.[22]
7-56-1
Zverev A.[3]
Royer V.
6-46-4
R128
Bonzi B.
Opelka R.
7-626-4
Svrcina D.
Wu Y.
7-50-0
Rinderknech A.
Medjedovic H.
6-731-0
Borges N.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Vacherot V.
Djere L.
6-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Atmane T.
4-4
De Jong J.
Zhou Y.
6-716-27-63
Mannarino A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-65
Baez S.
Zhang Z.
2-66-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-756-3
Shang J.
Kovacevic A.
6-43-66-3
Royer V.
Navone M.
3-66-46-4
Goffin D.
Muller A.
6-766-16-1
Tien L.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-4
Cazaux A.
Martinez P.
6-33-67-5
Hanfmann Y.
Sonego L.
2-66-36-1
Oconnell C.
Dzumhur D.
6-26-4
Cilic M.
Basilashvili N.
6-37-65
Thompson J.
Holmgren A.
4-66-36-4
Marozsan F.
Wawrinka S.
6-14-66-4
Munar J.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-56-1
Bellucci M.
Walton A.
7-666-1
Tabilo A.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Halys Q.
Mcdonald M.
6-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Quinn E.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Sakamoto R.
7-636-4
Nishioka Y.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-2
Altmaier D.
Schoolkate T.
6-36-4
Comesana F.
Blanchet U.
6-46-2
Brooksby J.
Trotter J.
7-626-1
Nardi L.
Ofner S.
3-66-36-2
Bergs Z.
Korda S.
6-47-5