Lorenzo Musetti vs Felix Auger AliassimeParis Olympics Bronze Final

Paris Olympics · ATP · Bronze Final
#14ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#4ATP
1958ELO
1864Clay ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Musetti L.
6-4 1-6 6-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Musetti L.
6162
Auger Aliassime F.
4631

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 1-6 6-3 in the Paris Olympics bronze final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–3. Lorenzo Musetti narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-2
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardLorenzo Musetti4-6 6-2 6-3
2022-11-26Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs CANRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4
2022-10-10FlorenceSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-3
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti6-2 7-6(2)
2021-05-17LyonR32clayLorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 3-6 7-5
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayFelix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Auger Aliassime F.
34
Serve
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
9.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (155 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
84
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
82
50
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0Clay Elo 1853
Surface ELO
4.0+11 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1958
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
6.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Auger Aliassime F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Bronze
Musetti L.[11]
Auger Aliassime F.[13]
6-41-66-3