Lorenzo Musetti vs Felix Auger Aliassime — Miami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA15
Lorenzo Musetti
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
Felix Auger Aliassime
CAN18
Felix Auger Aliassime
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Musetti L.
4-6 6-2 6-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Musetti L.
4662
Auger Aliassime F.
6231

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Felix Auger Aliassime 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Musetti narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

3–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-2
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsBRclayLorenzo Musetti6-4 1-6 6-3
2022-11-26Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs CANRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4
2022-10-10FlorenceSFhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-3
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti6-2 7-6(2)
2021-05-17LyonR32clayLorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 3-6 7-5
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayFelix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-3 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Auger Aliassime F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Auger Aliassime F.
54
Serve
74
62
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Musetti L.Auger Aliassime F.
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
10.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Musetti L.Auger Aliassime F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
84
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
82
50
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Musetti L.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Auger Aliassime F.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1804
Surface ELO
5.5+129 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1958
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.3
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.8
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Musetti L.Auger Aliassime F.
Freshness·
—
53

Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Mensik J.
Djokovic N.[4]
7-647-64
Semi-finals
Mensik J.
Fritz T.[3]
7-644-67-64
Djokovic N.[4]
Dimitrov G.[14]
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Djokovic N.[4]
Korda S.[24]
6-37-64
Dimitrov G.[14]
Cerundolo F.[23]
6-766-47-63
Mensik J.
Fils A.[17]
7-656-1
Fritz T.[3]
Berrettini M.[29]
7-56-777-5
R16
Mensik J.
Machac T.[20]
W/O
Fils A.[17]
Zverev A.[1]
3-66-36-4
Berrettini M.[29]
De Minaur A.[10]
6-37-67
Dimitrov G.[14]
Nakashima B.[31]
6-47-5
Cerundolo F.[23]
Ruud C.[5]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Musetti L.[15]
6-26-2
Korda S.[24]
Monfils G.
6-42-66-4
Fritz T.[3]
Walton A.
6-37-5
R32
Zverev A.[1]
Thompson J.
7-56-4
Machac T.[20]
Opelka R.
7-616-3
Berrettini M.[29]
Bergs Z.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[3]
Shapovalov D.[27]
7-56-3
Monfils G.
Munar J.
7-55-77-61
De Minaur A.[10]
Fonseca J.
5-77-56-3
Korda S.[24]
Tsitsipas S.[9]
7-646-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-17-61
Fils A.[17]
Tiafoe F.[16]
7-6115-76-2
Walton A.
Wong C.
7-664-66-4
Musetti L.[15]
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
4-66-26-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Goffin D.
6-36-756-3
Dimitrov G.[14]
Khachanov K.[22]
6-736-47-5
Cerundolo F.[23]
Paul T.[12]
6-27-64
Ruud C.[5]
Tabilo A.[30]
6-47-64
Mensik J.
Safiullin R.
6-46-4
R64
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[28]
7-647-61
Musetti L.[15]
Halys Q.
3-67-647-5
Fils A.[17]
Diallo G.
6-42-3
Wong C.
Shelton B.[13]
7-632-67-65
Mensik J.
Draper J.[6]
7-627-63
Walton A.
Darderi L.
6-46-4
Monfils G.
Lehecka J.[26]
6-13-67-68
Korda S.[24]
Spizzirri E.
6-46-2
Zverev A.[1]
Fearnley J.
6-26-4
Dimitrov G.[14]
Cina F.
6-16-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-57-65
Ugo Carabelli C.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-737-56-3
Shapovalov D.[27]
Tirante T.
6-36-717-63
Fritz T.[3]
Sonego L.
7-626-3
Opelka R.
Rune H.[11]
4-66-37-65
Machac T.[20]
Arnaldi M.
6-21-66-3
Berrettini M.[29]
Gaston H.
4-66-36-3
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
Schoolkate T.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Humbert U.[19]
6-46-3
Munar J.
Medvedev D.[7]
6-26-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Hijikata R.
6-07-61
Bergs Z.
Rublev A.[8]
7-56-4
Tabilo A.[30]
Moutet C.
5-76-37-5
Safiullin R.
Popyrin A.[25]
6-746-37-5
Ruud C.[5]
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[9]
Tseng C.
4-67-56-3
Cerundolo F.[23]
Muller A.
6-16-2
Paul T.[12]
Bublik A.
5-77-56-4
Khachanov K.[22]
Kyrgios N.
7-636-0
Goffin D.
Alcaraz C.[2]
5-76-46-3
Nakashima B.[31]
Carballes Baena R.
6-44-66-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Yunchaokete B.
6-46-4
R128
Moutet C.
Blockx A.
7-656-4
Goffin D.
Vukic A.
2-66-46-2
Bergs Z.
Borges N.
7-627-5
Gaston H.
Nishioka Y.
6-43-1
Cina F.
Comesana F.
7-647-62
Thompson J.
Giron M.
3-66-47-5
Hijikata R.
Medjedovic H.
7-53-67-5
Fearnley J.
Bonzi B.
7-662-66-4
Mensik J.
Bautista Agut R.
6-43-66-1
Fonseca J.
Tien L.
6-716-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Norrie C.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.
Wu Y.
7-634-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Struff J.
7-636-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Holt B.
2-67-656-4
Schoolkate T.
Quinn E.
6-06-2
Tseng C.
Bellucci M.
7-656-2
Halys Q.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-4
Kecmanovic M.
Kovacevic A.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Brooksby J.
6-33-66-3
Munar J.
Rinderknech A.
6-37-65
Sonego L.
Navone M.
7-57-5
Darderi L.
Martinez P.
6-46-1
Muller A.
Sakamoto R.
6-46-4
Wong C.
Altmaier D.
6-46-3
Spizzirri E.
Harris B.
7-623-66-2
Tirante T.
Cobolli F.
6-13-66-3
Monfils G.
Marozsan F.
6-33-66-4
Bublik A.
Baez S.
6-36-4
Kyrgios N.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-36-4
Carballes Baena R.
Oconnell C.
6-33-67-65
Diallo G.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-0
Opelka R.
Eubanks C.
6-37-64