Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo MusettiFlorence Semi-final

Florence · ATP · Semi-final
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Auger Aliassime F.
6-2 6-3
Musetti L.
Auger Aliassime F.
662
Musetti L.
230

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-3 in the Florence semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4. Felix Auger Aliassime narrowed the head-to-head to 4–4.

Key context

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR16hardFelix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-2
2025-03-19Miami MastersR32hardLorenzo Musetti4-6 6-2 6-3
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsBRclayLorenzo Musetti6-4 1-6 6-3
2022-11-26Davis Cup Finals SF: ITA vs CANRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32clayLorenzo Musetti6-2 7-6(2)
2021-05-17LyonR32clayLorenzo Musetti7-6(3) 3-6 7-5
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayFelix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Musetti L.
74
Serve
54
44
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
84
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
50
82
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+129 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1804
5.2Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
53

Auger Aliassime F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast