Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn — Wimbledon Round of 64
USA
Mochizuki S.
Shintaro Mochizuki faces Ethan Quinn in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Ethan Quinn is the paper favourite — ranked #47, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 130-point grass Elo advantage — but Shintaro Mochizuki rides a 4-match win streak. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Quinn E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Shintaro Mochizuki comes in with 4 days of rest and 136 games in 14d, vs Ethan Quinn's 2 and 179.
- Serve & return: Ethan Quinn leads on Serve Rating (33), Shintaro Mochizuki on Return Rating (47).
- Last match: Shintaro Mochizuki lost just 3 games in a 6–3 6–0 6–0 demolition of Max Basing.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMochizuki S.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 92 games (7d) · Quinn E.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.