Arthur Fery vs Otto VirtanenWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#114ATP
1722ELO
1603Grass ELO
$247kYTD
$786kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
#140ATP
1719ELO
1694Grass ELO
$193kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Fery A.
vs
Virtanen O.

Arthur Fery faces Otto Virtanen in the Wimbledon round of 64 on grass. Arthur Fery is the paper favourite — ranked #114, defending last year's round of 64 — but Otto Virtanen rides a 4-match win streak. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Fery A.38%
Virtanen O.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Virtanen O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Grass Elo 1603
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1719
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.7Home country · 5/11 here
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fery A.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
8.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fery A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fery A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
45
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
94
Break points won·Dominant
33
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
64

Fery A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final